Paul Foster
Chicago U.S.A. - http://
Paul Foster, a knowledgeable researcher has 21-years of professional experience in the capital markets, investments, trading, corporate finance, arbitrage, options and mergers and acquisitions.
Paul Foster
Chicago U.S.A. - http://
Paul Foster, a knowledgeable researcher has 21-years of professional experience in the capital markets, investments, trading, corporate finance, arbitrage, options and mergers and acquisitions.
Financial Select Sector (NYSE: XLF) closed at $13.69. XLF October option implied volatility is at 175, November is at 123; above its 26-week average of 41 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) closed at $89.90. Gold is recently up 3.99% to $921.90 according to Bloomberg. GLD October option implied volatility is at 62, November is at 53; above its 20-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting price movement.
Oil Services Holders (NYSE: OIH) closed at $97.60. Crude oil futures are recently down 4.98% to $82.28 according to Track Data. OIH holdings include BHI, BJS, DO, ESV, GRP, GSF, HAL, SLB, HC, NBR, NE, NOV, RDC, RIG, SII, SLB, TDW & WFT. OIH October option implied volatility is at 120, November is at 102 above its 26-week average of 39 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
America Movil (NYSE: AMX), a provider of wireless telecommunications service in Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Columbia & Ecuador, closed at $33.88. AMX overall option implied volatility of 83 is above its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Telmex (NYSE: TMX), an operator of wireline telecommunication systems in Mexico, closed at $22.64. TMX November option implied volatility of 63 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Cemex (NYSE: CX), an international producer, distributor and marketer of cement, closed at $10.12. Smith Barney says "Tougher times ahead; downgrading to Hold." CX November option implied volatility of 122 is above its 26-week average of 45 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Genentech (NYSE: DNA) closed at $78.19 Tuesday. Roche announced on July 21 the offer to buy the balance of 44% of DNA it does not own for $89 cash. DNA November option implied volatility of 60 is above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
IBM (NYSE: IBM) closed at $95.65 Tuesday. IBM is scheduled to report Q3 EPS on October 16. Thomas Weisel lowered its 12-month price target form $143 to $120. IBM October option implied volatility is at 85, November is at 60; above it's above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Disney (NYSE: DIS) closed at $28.26 Monday. DIS is expected to report Q4 EPS in early November. DIS November option implied volatility of 54 is above it 26-week average of 31 according to Track Data, suggesting larger movement.
Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) closed at $70.10 Monday. WHR is scheduled to report Q3 EPS in late October. WHR overall option implied volatility of 83 is above its 26-week average of 44 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) closed at $34.20 Monday. Crude oil futures are recently up 3.89% to $91.23 according to Bloomberg. PBR October option implied volatility is at 167; November is at 127; above its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) closed at $31.37 Friday. JCP is scheduled to report September sales data on October 8. JCP October option implied volatility of 83 is above its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) closed at $41.47 Friday. KSS is expected to report September sales data on October 8. KSS over all option implied volatility of 65 is above its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Dillard (NYSE: DDS) closed at $11.06 Friday. DDS is expected to report September sales data on October 8. DDS overall option implied volatility of 108 is above its 26-week average of 73 according to Track Data, indicating larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) and Wachovia (NYSE: WB) said they have signed a definite agreement for the merger of the two companies including all of WB's banking operations in a whole company transaction requiring no financial assistance from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC). WFC October option implied volatility of 97 is above its 26-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
WB is recently trading at $6.40 in pre-open trading, above its close of $3.81. WB overall option implied volatility of 145 is above its 26-week average of 72 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at 45.25; 10-day moving average is 37.55.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
General Electric (NYSE: GE) is recently trading at $22.95 in pre-open trading, below its close of $24.50. GE is expected to report Q3 EPS on October 10. GE October option implied volatility is at 69, November is at 65; above its 26-week average of 31 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
SLM (NYSE: SLM), engaged in education finance, closed at $8.35. SLM October 7.5 straddle is priced at $4.25, November 7.5 straddle is priced at $5. SLM over all option implied volatility of 164 is above its 26-week average of 80 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
CBS (NYSE: CBS) closed at $14.58. CBS is expected to report Q3 EPS in late October. CBS Corp will host an investor conference to discuss the company's interactive business on October 7. CBS over all option implied volatility of 44 is above its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Viacom (NYSE: VIA) closed at $24.86. VIA overall option implied volatility of 49 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at 39.38; 10-day moving average is 35.98.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) closed at $25.01. MSFT announced on September 22 its board of directors approved a new share repurchase program authorizing up to additional $40 billion in share repurchases with an expiration of September 30, 2013. MSFT is scheduled to report Q1 EPS on October 23. MSFT October option implied volatility is at 55, November is at 51; above its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
BHP Billiton (NASDAQ: BHP), the world's largest diversified resources company, closed at $50.50. BHP October option implied volatility of 97 is above its 26-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at 46.72; 10-day moving average is 35.07.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Wachovia (NYSE: WB) is recently trading at $4.25 in pre-open trading, below its close of $10. WB October 10 straddle was priced at $7.20 on September 26, November 10 is at $8.40 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
National City (N&SE: NCC) is recently trading at $3.64 in pre-open trading, below its close of $3.71. NCC's share price declined 25% after JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) purchased Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) banking assets. BMO Capital says: "NCC is not in the same situation as WM was." NCC October 4 straddle is priced at $2.45; November 4 straddle is priced at $2.75; according to Track Data, suggesting large price fluctuations.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) became the biggest U.S. bank by deposits, acquiring Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) branch network for $1.9 billion after the thrift was seized in the largest U.S. bank failure in history. JPM October option implied volatility of 65 is above its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Globex S&P futures trading 21.70 below previous day's SPX cash close after U.S. Republican lawmakers stalled urgent efforts to agree on a national economic rescue plan.
Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at 32.81; 10-day moving average is 32.66.
Financial Select Sector-XLF overall volatility at 48; 26-week average is 40.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Pilgrim's Pride (NYSE: PPC) informed its lenders it does not expect to be in compliance with its fixed-charge coverage ratio covenant under its principle credit facilities. PPC is the U.S.'s second largest chicken processor. PPC November option implied volatility of 189 is above its 26-week average of 56 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Transmeta (NASDAQ: TMTA) said it has begun a process to seek a potential sale of the company. TMTA, a designer of chip technology, closed at $13.50. TMTA over all option implied volatility of 66 is above its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is recently trading at $134.50 in pre-open trading, above its close of $125.05. GS agreed to sell $5 billion of perpetual preferred stock to Berkshire Hathaway, in addition GS is raising at least $2.5 billion in common equity in a public offering. Deutsche Bank says: "Less risk and lower returns likely with Buffett stake." GS October call option implied volatility is at 89, puts are at 98; above its 26-week average of 53 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is recently trading at $30.75 in pre-open trading, above its close of $28. MS October call option implied volatility is at 139, puts are at 163; above its 26-week average of 58 according to Track Data, suggesting large price movement.
Financial Select Sector-XLF overall volatility at 52; 26-week average is 40
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
General Electric (NYSE: GE) is recently trading at $25.61 in pre-open trading, below its close of $26.15. Merrill Lynch lowered its rating on GE to Neutral from Buy. GE October option implied volatility of 61 is above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) closed at $40.89 Monday. CHK announced plans to temporarily reduce its 2008-10 capital expenditures and reduce its rig count by 17. CHK will host an analyst meeting on October 15. Natural Gas futures are recently up 0.17% to $7.671 according to Bloomberg. CHK October option implied volatility of 66 is above its 26-week average of 52 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Volatility Index S&P 500 Options - VIX at 32.06; 10-day moving average is 28.60 according to Track Data.
Volatility Index NASDAQ 100 - VXN at 34.25; 10-day moving average is 30.54.
Financial Select Sector - XLF overall volatility at 38; 26-week average is 40.
Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) closed at $19.89 Friday. Cowen says: "We continue to believe that Yahoo faces secular challenges beyond a likely near-term softening of the display ad market." Cowen goes on to say "we do not believe Yahoo shares offer compelling risk/reward at current levels." YHOO is expected to announce Q3 EPS on October 21. YHOO October option implied volatility of 72 is above its 26-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
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Citigroup inthenews FNM WallStreet FRE Microsoft LEH TWX earnings INTC gdp gm china MSFT BA TM AAPL AIG GOOG TechnicalAnalysis thestockadvisors.com momentum c options dell MER Google WB mortgages featured banks foreclosures SEC WMT OptionImpliedVolatility MS GE WFC bac Wal-Mart InvestorsObserver FundamentalAnalysis f dollar wm DIS oil bailout hpq JimCramer
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